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Which of the following techniques would be most appropriate to use to develop a forecast?
Exponential smoothing is a forecasting technique that uses a weighted average of past and present data to predict future values. It is suitable for time series data that have a stable or slowly changing trend and no significant seasonal variations. Exponential smoothing assigns more weight to the most recent data, giving it a higher influence on the forecast. This makes it more responsive to changes in demand patterns than other techniques, such as moving average or time series decomposition, which use fixed weights or historical data. The Delphi method is a qualitative technique that involves a panel of experts who provide their opinions and feedback on a topic through multiple rounds of surveys. It is not based on historical data or mathematical formulas, but rather on human judgment and consensus. Therefore, it is not appropriate for developing a forecast.Reference: CPIM Part 2 Exam Content Manual, Version 7.0, Domain 3: Plan and Manage Demand, Section A: Demand Management, Subsection 2: Forecasting Techniques and Methods, p. 14-15.
An online retailer moves from delivering hard copy books to offering digital downloads only. This action may result in an increased possibility of:
An example of a cradle-to-cradle sustainability model would be:
An example of a cradle-to-cradle sustainability model would be a coffee shop that collects paper waste in its restaurants, has a selected supplier collect the paper waste to be recycled, and then purchases paper products from that supplier. This example shows how the coffee shop closes the loop of the paper material cycle, by reusing the paper waste as an input for new paper products. This way, the coffee shop reduces its environmental impact, saves resources, and supports the circular economy.
Which of the following priority rules is most consistent with the objective of meeting due dates?
The priority rule that is most consistent with the objective of meeting due dates is slack time per operation. Slack time per operation is a priority rule that assigns a priority index to each job based on the ratio of the remaining slack time to the remaining number of operations. Slack time is the difference between the due date and the expected completion time of a job. A lower ratio means a higher priority, as it indicates that the job has less slack time per operation and is more likely to be late. Slack time per operation is a dynamic priority rule, as it updates the priority index after each operation is completed. Slack time per operation can help minimize the number of tardy jobs and the average tardiness of jobs, as it gives preference to the jobs that are closer to their due dates and have more operations left.
First-come-first-served (FCFS) is not a priority rule that is consistent with the objective of meeting due dates. FCFS is a priority rule that processes jobs in the order of their arrival or release times. FCFS is a simple and fair rule, but it ignores the processing times and due dates of jobs. FCFS can result in poor due date performance, as it can delay urgent or short jobs behind long or non-urgent jobs.
Shortest processing time (SPT) is not a priority rule that is consistent with the objective of meeting due dates. SPT is a priority rule that processes jobs in ascending order of their processing times. SPT is an effective rule for minimizing the average flow time and work-in-process inventory of jobs, as it clears out small jobs quickly and reduces congestion in the system. However, SPT does not consider the due dates of jobs, and it can make long or urgent jobs late.
Fewest operations remaining is not a priority rule that is consistent with the objective of meeting due dates. Fewest operations remaining is a priority rule that processes jobs in ascending order of their remaining number of operations. Fewest operations remaining is a rule that can reduce the variability and complexity of jobs, as it tends to complete jobs faster and reduce their flow times. However, fewest operations remaining does not take into account the slack times or due dates of jobs, and it can make urgent or short jobs late.
A statistical safety stock calculation would be appropriate for:
A statistical safety stock calculation is a method to determine the optimal amount of safety stock based on the demand variability, the lead time variability, and the desired service level. A statistical safety stock calculation would be appropriate for end items with stable demand, because these items have a predictable demand pattern and a low coefficient of variation. For items with unstable or unpredictable demand, such as components used in multiple end items, new products at time of introduction, or supply-constrained raw materials, a statistical safety stock calculation may not be accurate or reliable, and other methods such as judgmental or simulation-based approaches may be preferred.Reference: CPIM Part 2 Exam Content Manual, Domain 5: Plan and Manage Inventory, Section 5.4: Inventory Management Techniques, p. 29.